Whatever happened to sunk costs?

Conservatives’ increasingly desperate defenses of the Iraq mess now turn more and more to a simple idea, “Well, it’s too late to stop now.”

They seem to have forgotten the notion of sunk costs, which in economics is the term for any costs already invested into a project which have to be conceded if the project is deemed a failure.

For example, no corporation in America would say, after spending millions to launch a new product, “Well, it’s failing miserably, but we’ve already spent so much money developing and marketing the damn thing, let’s just keep letting the losses pile up.”

No, after a certain point, you stop the bleeding. Call it a valiant try. Call it a mistake. Cut your losses and move on, to hell with your “credibility.”

This is especially the case with an optional war. In a sense, Dubya turned an optional war into a must-win war, because of the seeming alliance between Iraqi insurgents and foreign Islamic fundamentalits. How much of that is actually happening, though, is very unclear.

Still, the weapons threat — assuming there was one — is most assuredly gone now. While attacks targeting civilians in Iraq are obviously terrible, they are not obviously a priority for American foreign policy. Turn over authority ASAP to the Iraqis and come to terms with the new government on keeping a strike force in the country to hunt down any terrorist groups.

It’s this type of smaller-scale, more targeted action that the war on terror seemed to be headed in originally, before Dubya & Co. became obsessed with remaking the entire Middle East. There’s not much of a guarantee that this would go well, but it would mean bringing home the vast majority of the troops, getting out of the nation-building and recognizing when your costs are sunk.

Unlike in the private sector, however, there’s much less incentive for politicians to admit their mistakes, much less work to lessen the damage caused by them. It must be daunting for them to be faced with the fact that nine out of 10 things they’ll try will fail.

The only lever, ultimately, is the ballot box, as imperfect an institution as it might be. Yet the leading presidential candidate for the other major party also wants to stick it out in Iraq, albeit under NATO command. I’m sure it won’t be any problem to get the Europeans on board now that Iraq is a flaming disaster.

Keep cranking out

The high-quality insurance reporting just keeps coming:

Ever wonder why people keep building big fancy houses right next to natural tinderboxes like the forests of Southern California? Because the state government’s residual market insurance program makes sure their coverage is cheap, cheap, cheap, as Matt Welch explains cogently.

So, not only do the rest of the state’s insurance consumers pay for this below-market cost insurance, but the residents pay because they are kept ignorant of the true costs of where they choose to reside. If you distort the price, you distort the information.

I’m not mad, I’m just grumpy

Well, you’d be grumpy too if you had the misfortune of reliving a small part of your childhood last weekend on cable: “The Care Bears Movie.” The caliber of this mid-’80s flick’s animation is to “Finding Nemo” (which I also saw last weekend) as William Shatner’s voice is to Andreas Bocelli’s.

That this movie (which I’m quite sure my mother dutifully suffered through — unlike “The Smurfs and the Magic Flute,” which she decided to wait out in the theater lobby while I watched), essentially one giant commercial for the plush bears marketed by American Greetings was actually a hit is amazing to me.

It just goes to show you how really stupid kids are. Apparently, the movie inspired three sequels — I never knew that — and a TV show on ABC. Hmph.

I love the official Care Bears Web site, by the way, which boasts: “Care Bears became ‘America’s Teddy Bear’ with over 40 Million Care Bears toys sold between 1983 and 1987 alone.” Uh-huh. Wonder why they didn’t include any figures from the last 16 years.

Anyway, you can get all your Care Bears wallpapers and AOL buddy icons there, at “Download-a-lot.” If you actually get that reference, I fear for you.

Once you’ve had enough of that, fill out this quiz to find out which dysfunctional care bear you are.

And if the quiz results don’t come out right, take out your frustration on the Evil Care Bears by shooting the bejesus out of them.