Various and sundry

I hate to say “I told you so” about the Red Sox coming back against the A’s. Actually, I don’t hate it all. I’m glad to say it. It’s lots of fun. When you’re right as infrequently as I am, you’ve got to take pleasure in it.

Zito ran out of gas in the sixth and that was enough to cost the A’s the game.

There’s not much to say about the game tonight except “Go Cubs!” I hope Zambrano pitches well, because he’ll be pitching twice in this series. How he fares could make or break the Cubs’ hopes for a pennant.

I probably won’t be blogging much until Friday as I’ll be out of town covering an insurance agents’ convention, where I expect all the speakers to make lame jokes about the Cubs.

Fish fry

I think this NLCS against the Marlins will be fun. Unlike the Braves, they can score without hitting the ball out of the park. They led the league in stolen bases, though they were only eighth in the league in runs (the Cubs were ninth). It’s a young team clearly coming off an exciting upset win over the Giants in the first round, and they will not make anything easy for the Cubs. The Cubs took four of six from the Marlins during the season.

While the Prior-Wood tandem has been tossed around all season as if they were a Schilling-Johnson-like dynamic duo, for most of the year Wood has been inconsistent. Even in the games where he pitched well and kept the other team in check, it took him so many pitches to get outs that he’d get pulled in the sixth or seventh inning. But it’s clear that, since late August, Wood is pitching at least as well as he ever has since the elbow injury. Without actually looking at the stats, I’d venture to say that with these two amazing performances against the Braves, he is pitching better than he ever has.

If Baker works the rotation the way I expect, Wood and Prior would pitch four times in a seven-game NLCS. Right off the bat, that’s four games where — at this point — you almost feel you can chalk up the victory as soon as they start throwing their warmup pitches. But let’s say the Cubs win only three of those, that means the Cubs would only need one breakout offensive game (which, for them, is five runs or more) or dominant pitching performance from Zambrano or Clement.

I like those odds. I also think the Cubs are lucky to have home-field advantage in the series, because Pro Player Stadium can be pretty unnerving when it’s full of bandwagoning South Floridians (though another Wrigley Field South is likely). That said, with the two-three-two format, a home split can be scary because it means having to win at least one in Miami.

This is the year and the Cubs are real

In spite of my optimism about tonight’s game, I admit that I was more prepared for disappointment than for jubiliation. I’m just so used to it. I knew exactly how to talk away the pain, but how do I wipe the smile off my face?

It had been 95 years since the Cubs won a postseason series, which is kind of a dopey stat because back then — 1908 — the “postseason series” the Cubs won was the World Series. Still, it counts for something. It was step two. It has been 58 years since the Cubs won the National League pennant and earned the right to play in the World Series. That is definitely the more important streak, and hopefully one the Cubs will break.

I wanted very badly for the Cubs to win today not to avoid “tragedy,” but, simply, to keep the fun going. I would have been saddened not so much by the end of another year without a Cubs pennant, or a Cubs World Series championship, but by the end of the intense drama that develops when your team plays in October.

I didn’t expect this team to be this good this early, so it’s hard for me to wrap my mind around the notion that this might be the year. It’s hard for me to keep from thinking of how much better they’ll be next year when Corey Patterson’s back and another offseason of Jim Hendry moves has improved the team’s shaky bullpen and Swiss cheese lineup.

Perversely, I’m already waiting until next year and this one hasn’t even ended yet! Tonight bought me at least another week of this orgiastic feeling of belonging to the drama of the postseason. That is why I can’t wipe the smile off my face.

Back to Oakland!

So the Red Sox did what they had to do, winning two in Fenway to even up their series 2-2 and take it back to the Bay.

And now they have a fully rested Pedro Martinez going tomorrow going against … who? It would have been a matchup of the game one starters and team aces Martinez and Hudson if A’s manager Ken Macha hadn’t made the idiotic decision to pitch Hudson today on short rest. He lasted one inning and went out with an injury.

So now who will match Pedro Martinez, one of the best big game pitchers of this era in baseball, pitch for pitch? Barry Zito on short rest? Good question, and there’s no answer. If the A’s lose this series, they have the manager to thank.

Meanwhile …

Those poor pathetic souls known in Chicago as White Sox fans have had enough of the Cubs fever supposedly sweeping the city.

Chicago Tribune columnist and lifelong Sox fan John Kass concluded a recent column with the words, “Go Cubs.” Here are some of the responses he received from outraged comrades.

They include one letter from 13-year-old Sox fan Tara Lucas:

We should be proud of the fact that one of our city’s teams made it to the playoffs. But the truth is, I’d rather no teams did than the Cubs making it and the Sox did not,” Miss Lucas wrote. “It is not out of jealousy, but out of … hatred.

I am assuming that you did not mean those two terrible words. Please tell me you did not mean them. (Signed) Tara.

They learn early, and most baseball fans in Chicago never forget. Apparently John Kass did. He had no adequate defense, of course, because there is none.

The only thing more despicable than the Chicago baseball fan who claims to root for both teams is the die-hard of one team who decides to cheer on the other team out of “civic pride” or some other fantastic notion come October. I give you: Da Mare.

Rooting interests are, of course, arbitrary, which is what makes them so much fun. When the team that you’ve arbitrarily decided to root for, usually for geographic reasons, finally wins it all it’s almost as if you earned that victory by your years or decades of partisanship. But to jump on the bandwagon … well, it’s about as satisfying as rooting for the best picture favorite on Oscar night.

It’s the sign of a confused soul, headed straight for sports purgatory.

One-game season

In spite of yesterday’s loss, I am not crushed. I am not heartbroken. And the Cubs have not collapsed. Dusty wouldn’t allow them to be, and there’s no reason for Cubs fans to be demoralized considering the favorable matchup tonight.

Our club has a fully rested Kerry Wood going up against a short-rested Mike Hampton, who came very close to getting knocked out early in game two. But at this point, the talk of matchups is kind of futile. The Cubs must execute, period. Wood must pitch the game of his life, the bullpen (probably minus Farnsworth) has to pick him up, and the Cubs have to score enough runs.

Pretty simple. Yet so difficult to do, and perhaps even more nerve-wracking to observe. We shall see. Go Cubs!

To dream the impossible dream

It is extremely difficult to overestimate what a great pitcher Mark Prior is. The only qualifying starting pitcher in the National League with a lower ERA this year was Jason Schmidt. The difference: Schmidt is 30; Prior is 23. It took Schmidt several years of toiling as a merely good pitcher to become as great as Prior already is.

There is little to suggest that Prior won’t be this good — if not better, a scary thought for NL hitters — for many years to come. Prior’s mechanics are perfect, shielding him from the usual ways in which pitchers injure their arms. There’s little to indicate that Prior is in danger of being “figured out” by opposing batters.

He has a fairly simple recipe: fastballs which he can locate anywhere in or out of the strike zone as fast as 97 mph and a paralyzing curve ball he can throw for strikes or drop off the table into the dirt. He has excellent control and makes very few mistakes. Prior will get beaten because the stuff isn’t as good or because he makes mistakes. But when he’s right, he will win.

The last remaining question was whether the pressure of a playoff game would somehow affect his performance. Aside from a bit of wildness last night (four walks, one hit batter), he was fantastic. The only run that crossed the plate shouldn’t have, as centerfielder Kenny Lofton played a single into a double by trying to make a diving catch. That play allowed the Braves to plate the run without getting another hit. He allowed only two all night.

And this was against the best offensive lineup in the National League. Superlatives are useless at this point, so let’s just move on.

The Braves are throwing Russ Ortiz out there on three days’ rest. He did not by any measure dominate the Cubs Tuesday and I doubt he will tomorrow. The Cubs, seeing him for the second time this week, should be able to cash in on the opportunities they let slip through their fingers in game one. And he may be even wilder than normal, which is saying a lot since he averaged four walks per nine innings in the regular season.

Clement is well rested and once again has the opportunity to win a clincher and save Wood for game one of a playoff series. He did it last Saturday in the second half of a doubleheader, meaning Wood did not have to pitch the final game of the year and could start Tuesday night instead. This is the exact same situation. By clinching tomorrow, no game five is of course necesary and Wood can be rested to start game one of the NLCS.

After watching tonight’s performance by Prior, it now dawns on me just how good a chance the Cubs have this October. I guess I didn’t expect Wood and Prior to perform so well, and of course there’s no guarantee that they will continue to be quite this dominant. I thought the Cubs’ starters would keep them in the games (along the lines of Zambrano’s effort Wednesay), but I didn’t think they had the ability to dominate this Braves lineup the way they have.

Now here’s the exciting thought: The Braves are it. They’re the best offensive team in the playoffs. If Cubs starters can handle that lineup fairly easily, how will they fare against the Giants or Marlins — who are talented, to be sure, but don’t stack up against Atlanta offensively?

In my mind, tonight not only brought a first-round playoff win within grasp, but proved that a pennant is conceivable too. That unreachable star seems a little bit more reachable tonight. I hope that today’s game does not rudely awaken me from my delirium.

Is it over for the Red Sox?

Yes, they are one loss away from being booted from the playoffs, but I don’t think you can write off the Red Sox quite yet.

They are 53-28 at home this season, where they averaged 6.5 runs per game, compared to only 5.3 on the road. So there’s a significant possibility the offense can carry them at home and it’s already been announced that Martinez will pitch in game five, not game four.

So the Red Sox will know that if they can score some runs in these next two games against the weaker part of the A’s rotation, they could get back to Oakland with their stud on the mound. So no, it’s not over. Yes, it’s a long shot, but it is not over.

Yet another reason to hate football

Rush Limbaugh on black Eagles quarterback Donovan McNabb:

I think what we’ve had here is a little social concern in the NFL. The media has been very desirous that a black quarterback do well. There is a little hope invested in McNabb, and he got a lot of credit for the performance of this team that he didn’t deserve. The defense carried this team.

McNabb, naturally, didn’t take kindly to the comments, and neither did the usual suspects, who called for ESPN to fire Limbaugh from their Sunday NFL pre-game show. They didn’t. He resigned, instead, saying a statement that his comments weren’t “racially motivated,” but I think that’s a crock.

The only reason for Limbaugh to speculate that “the media” overhyped McNabb because of his skin color is because he subconsciously believes that there’s still some doubt about blacks’ ability to peform as NFL quarterbacks.

Why would “the media” need to hype McNabb, given that there are several successful starting NFL QBs out there already — Michael Vick, Steve McNair, Kordell Stewart (OK, he has been successful) and Daunte Culpepper, to name a few. Randall Cunningham and Warren Moon are just two of the great retired black QBs.

So there would be no need for “the media” to overhype McNabb any more than they do with any other quarterback. NFL QBs usually get too much credit for their teams’ successes and too much blame for their failures — that’s true regardless of skin color.

How that thought could even occur to Limbaugh is because he, at some level, has some doubt about blacks’ ability to perform as QBs that would somehow necessitate the naturally liberal-minded news media to shade the facts to favor an African-American like McNabb under some kind of secret sports affirmative action program.

It was a stupid thing to say, but perhaps not as stupid as having Limbaugh on the ESPN show in the first place. He has no football expertise or experience. He’s never coached or played the game. He was on there to generate excitement and unfortunately he generated a little too much excitement for ESPN.

If ESPN is so badly struggling for ratings that it resorts to these kinds of stunts — hiring Limbaugh, I mean — well maybe football fans aren’t interested in watching eight hours of pre-game coverage. But on that I could only hazard a guess, not being a football fan myself.