How far can he go?

While the Dodgers’ Shawn Green may have had one great day, but he’ll never have the kind of consistently great career Barry Bonds has had. Now that Bonds has passed Mark McGwire in the all-time home run
race, the question is who else he’ll pass before he retireds.

With 584 home runs, Bonds is 171 home runs short of Aaron’s record. Already 38, I think Bonds knows he won’t be productive enough for long enough to become the all-time champ. Ruth, of course, is in second place with 714 home runs and Willie Mays is in theird with 660 home runs. Bonds will pass Frank Robinson’s fourth-place 586 home runs within the week, probably.

Bonds is projected to hit 60 home runs this season, but let’s be conservative and say Bonds winds up with 50. That would give him 617. Then he would only need 44 home runs in 2003 to overtake his godfather Willie Mays for third place. At that point, Bonds would 39 — and all of this assumes of course he will stay healthy and productive.

But by 39 you’ve got to hink Bonds’ production will drop off, and he’d still be 53 home runs behind Ruth. I think that Bonds — aside from wanting to win a championship — must be realistically shooting for his godfather’s record. Third place all time for a few years? Not too shabby. Until Ken Griffey Jr. comes charging, of course.